You can see the top 20 in Genesis Invitational betting odds as of Monday afternoon at the bottom of this post, or head over to BetMGM to see the full list of odds and bets for this week. It features long par 3s and par 4s, thick and penal rough, and extremely firm and fast greens. Top 40 Parlay: Chris Kirk and Tyrrell Hatton to both finish Top 40 (+179). Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. Pick to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational (0.5 Units): Rory McIlroy (+950). Add in Gdula and Stephen Hennesseys Tony Finau (16-1) winner at the Houston Open in the Fall and that gives the panel four outright hits on the 2022-23 season. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. I was tempted to play Gary Woodland at +12500 in the PGA Championship Theres been an interesting trend at the API over the past few years. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. World No. 2022 Farmers Insurance Open: Longshot of the week As mentioned before, major winners can be found throughout the field this week. Ill always look Conners way at a ball-strikers course, as the Canadian ranks top-15 in both SG: OTT and SG: APP. Okay, I admit that it reminds me of the sixth at Hazeltine National, another Trent Jones product, but I don't think Wilson picked Trent's pocket on this one, as both courses were built about the same time, in the early 1960s. Best irons for 2023 for every handicap and playing style, Three sleeper picks to win the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, including Tommy Fleetwood at 80/1, Ratings for LIV Golf's 2023 TV debut are in and they aren't pretty, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. 2023 WM Phoenix Open: Rickie Fowler (Odds: +8000; Finish: T10)2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Beau Hossler (Odds +8000; Finish: T11)2023 Farmers Insurance Open: Rickie Fowler (Odds: +10000; Finish: T11)2023 Sony Open in Hawaii: Kurt Kitayama (Odds: +5000; Finish: T73)2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions: Ryan Brehm (Odds: +75000; Finish: T35). And while hes only played in two PGA Tour events this season (29th at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and T21 at the Sony Open), Scott had a solid year last season, missing only two cuts in 20 tries and collecting five top-10s, four of which were top-5s. Follow him on Twitter: @ThePME. After a disappointing finish at the Memorial earlier this month, Conners has a great opportunity to make up for missing the cut at last years U.S. Open. Lets keep it rolling in Orlando. No, he is not a tout. Honda: Chris Kirk. Combine that with his form and I think hes in line for another great showing. No, he is not a tout. But, with three top-20 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he can still be an active contributor in DraftKings lineups. Wish it wouldve been his win at the Genesis but I still think he has win equity again this week and Im ready to burn him as a OaD play this week at Bay Hill. The intangible Im looking for from players inside the arena at TPC Scottsdale is an ability to perform in a high pressure atmosphere, and Steele has displayed poise in big moments, finishing top-15 at the PGA Championship and THE PLAYERS last season. Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler have combined to win each of the first three elevated events of 2023. Mayo: Tom Kim (45-1, DraftKings) While hell likely be my pick to win next week, Kims odds have simply slipped too far for his upside this week. Although Willy Z has been pretty brutal on the greens in his career, his lag putting has been notably good, and a great fit for the giant greens, while his short game remains quite underrated. He has eight top-25 finishes in his past nine starts with four top-10s. For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Hopefully its one of his hot weeks. Weve been up and down with our PGA Tour expert picks and best bets for these elevated events thus far but after a solid week at the Honda that was close to being great, were about to lock in with our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. I was tempted to play Gary Woodland at +12500 in the PGA Championship Its worth noting that Day has played more rounds than both of those guys. Patrick Cantlay, Justin Thomas and Tony Finau are the only other players under +3000. WebThe Arnold Palmer Invitational is set to take place this week from March 2-5, 2023, at the Bay Hill Golf Course. I love to pounce on players that are coming off an MC in which they gained strokes in both ball-striking categories, which was the case for Matsuyama at Riviera. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Hes third in weighted SG/approach over the past year, fourth in wSG/off the tee and 11th in par-5 scoring, per RickRunGood.com (weighted strokes-gained numbers factors in field strength). Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. At The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. Gdula: Max Homa (20-1, FanDuel) I hate rooting against Max, but his odds are to the point where hes shorter than a lot of names Id rather take. He finished 29th last week at THE PLAYERS Championship and 10th the week prior at the Arnold Palmer Invitational so he is playing some great Florida golf. If its a loaded field and Will Zalatoris is betting, Im going to look for ways to get him on my card. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 The British Open will be played this week for the first time since 2019. In his free time, Andy can likely be found on a golf course. At the British Open, four of Holliman's picks finished in the top eight, including Dustin Johnson (35-1) and Tommy Fleetwood (35-1). RELATED: Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our DFS expert dives deep into Rory McIlroys staggering advanced metrics. He has the ball-striking to put together a strong showing at Bay Hill, and while the putter is still hit-or-miss, its not nearly as bad as it used to be. In a field as top-heavy as this one with so many elite options, a safe, high floor value player is going to be a must for DFS lineup construction purposes. With all the top PGA Tour stars teeing it up again this week, the betting favorites share a lot of similarities with the very top of the Official World Golf Ranking. Full Leaderboard . Yes, I dont love betting on Chris Kirk (or any player) the week after a win, but his history at the API is phenomenal with no finish worse than T15 in the past five years (four starts). For the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, Holliman is backing several longshots, including two players in his top 10 who are priced at almost 30-1. Mitchells ball-striking should put him in the mix here, and I love the Bermuda putting splits. Atlantic Sun Tournament Odds: Liberty The Clear-Cut Favorite, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Tournament Preview: Everything You Need To Know About Bay Hill. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. Scotts last four starts at Riviera look like this: T4, T38, 1 and T7. Gilliam County. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates That makes Scrambling and Bogey Avoidance of premium importance. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+105) over Cameron Young (DraftKings) Fleetwood has a long history of success at Bay Hill and while Cam Young looked good in his first start at API, hes been one of the worst-performing wind players in the field. Other long shots worth a look this week are a few pros who have been recently featured here, including Adam Scott (+10000), Sepp Straka (+12500) and Beau Hossler (+1500). But we have our eyes on another former Masters champ as our long-shot bet to win. Its yet another elevated event on the PGA Tourso its dangerous to put our chips down on one name over 20-1, but thats what were doing. Steele ranks top-10 in both SG: OTT and SG: APP, which will help him to avoid the persistent hazards that threaten around both the fairways and greens. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. In his last start at the Genesis Invitational, List gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on Approach. Genesis: Justin Thomas. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Touts are lame. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. So which 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you target or avoid? Genesis: Justin Thomas. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. The faster the greens and harder the course the better chance Zalatoris has of victory. Bay Hill Club & Lodge will be the host in Orlando this week as we are readying for another PGA Tour designated event at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the most in a single event since his win in Memphis, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. I think this is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that favors the drawers of the ball. Hes made it through the cut in each trip to TPC Scottsdale, highlighted by a T17 in 2021. Pendrith is one of eight players in the field to rank top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG: OTT. Sentry TOC: Patrick Cantlay. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. MLB Odds: Braves 2B Ozzie Albies A Most Hits Longshot Candidate? But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. We shouldve had some equity in Chris Kirk but tried to get too cute. Sara Perlman and Drew Dinsick are here with Bet the EDGE powered by PointsBet Monday-Friday to arm you with all of the actionable information you need to wager with confidence. His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. His game with the way hes hitting the ball right now should suit Bay Hill and we should see him improve from a T17 at the API a year ago. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Farmers: Jason Day. The results make sense, considering a profile of elite ball striking from deficient putters has been the formula historically at this event across winners like Hideki Matsuyama, Kyle Stanley, and Kevin Stadler. Honda: Chris Kirk. Wind proved a decisive factor in the 2022 outcome of the Arnold Palmer and should be monitored closely ahead of tee off on Thursday. Prior to that debacle, Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his previous seven startsincluding a win at the ZOZO Championship. An impressive 44 of the top 50 players in the Official World Golf Rankings are set to tee off at Bay Hill on Thursday. The greatest party in golf is here this week as we continue our handicapping of 2023 WM Phoenix Open odds, AKA Wasted Management, AKA The Peoples Open at TPC Scottsdale. Thats remarkable and, while it has made his outright odds tough to stomach, I think that the Top 5 odds are more than palatable at this price given that hes done that at an 80% rate so far this season. Gdula: Sungjae Im (-108) over Tyrrell Hatton (FanDuel) Both have played well at Bay Hill, and the long-term tee-to-green data favors Im, so thats where Im going. Still, it was a profitable week at the Honda and we move forward. It seemed like the whole world was betting him at every turn. Before you lock in any 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, make sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from golf insider Patrick McDonald. This will be Ims eighth start in nine weeks, which is an unsustainable pace, and we already started to see the wheels come off last weekend at the Honda Classic. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. With the $20 million purse on the line, the field is once again loaded with defending champion Scottie Scheffler now joined by Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and 10 of the Top 11 players in the OWGR and 44 of the Top 50 players in the world. The event tees off Thursday, and Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. These are the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks and best bets for what should be a great week at Bay Hill. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates Golf Club on January 28, 2023 in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. Lack: Sungjae Im (33-1, BetMGM) This is a pure situational fade for me. American Express: Brian Harman. After two WebThe Echo Hills Golf Course is bordered on two sides by the town and on the other sides by farmland. PGA $1M Pitch & Putt: Because theres variance at work at Bay Hill given the complexity of the conditions and the wind, theres a chance to win big in the $1 million contest this week if you fall on the right side of the carnage. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. Houston Open: Sepp Straka. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports. Sentry TOC: Xander Schauffele. And most importantly, our experts have hit an outright winner in three consecutive weeksthanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week. With lateral natural desert hazards and water threatening throughout this course, players will need to be in complete control of their driver off the tee, while those with above-average driving distance have been able to set up more scoring opportunities with shorter clubs into this firm and fast greens. Scroll down to read our best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Rahm or Rory at Bay Hill. The short game wont be an issue, and with the expected blustery conditions, Fleetwood is primed to notch his fourth top 10 at Bay Hill in seven starts. After spending time at FanSided and NBC Sports EDGE, McDonald joined CBS Sports as a golf writer in the spring of 2022. Five 2022 PGA Championship Longshots and Darkhorses We Love To win your PGA Championship pool, you need to find the longshots and darkhorses with longer odds at Southern Hills, so here are some sleepers in the field. The Argentinian was right in the mix all week and tied for second. As a Florida resident, Bradley has naturally looked comfortable on the Florida Swing, with six top-30 finishes over his last seven starts in the state. Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. Its a good number if nothing else. Scottie won Phoenix, Rahm won Riv. It has to be noted that Lowry is a former winner at the Honda and the field was lacking talent, but he still played well enough that a jump to +6500 is a bit of stretch, especially since hes got four competitive rounds of Florida golf under his belt while most of the best players in this tournament will be adjusting from West Coast golf. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onAll Golf and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Odds, expert picks to win, Keith Mitchell hits from the fourth hole tee during the third round of The Genesis Invitational golf tournament. Be that as it may, the putter has not stopped him from posting three top-30 finishes over his last five starts. Gdula: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradleys number on FanDuel Sportsbook is a lot longer than youll see in other places. and he won the 2022 BMW PGA Championship over Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who both happen to be in the field this week. Then it just comes down to the putter. Hes riding a super-hot putter and is the most overvalued of the favorites, per my model. The Twitter handle is a joke. The 2014 FedEx Cup champion has long odds this week to the tune of +10000 to win. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). Woods has never won at Riviera and enters the week at 150/1. Tee times in this area. 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I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. For now, well assume equal playing conditions for the full field when determining top value plays until more information becomes available on tee times and Thursday/Friday weather reports. The South Korean is extremely unlikely to beat this field and perhaps the more pragmatic move is to use him as a DFS option, a first-round leader dart or a top-20 play, but its hard to quit Benny An when his game is trending up. Like Lowry, Fleetwood is built to contend at events like this. Were always looking for courses which wont require the winner to breach 20 under, and Bay Hill certainly qualifies. 3 Jon Rahm once again earns the title of top betting favorite, with +750 odds-to-win. Prior to Hovland, Mayakoba has been a week for middle- to longshots. Powers, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (-120) over Corey Conners (DraftKings) Keegans Bay Hill record is as good as anybodys in this field not named Rory McIlroy, and hes coming in in fine form. by Mastercard. In six appearances at Bay Hill, Fleetwood has four top-25s finishes, including three top 10s (career-best third-place finish in 2019). Without any further delay, lets get to our WM Phoenix Open picks with a focus on longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups. Tiger Woods, in his first official start since last years Open Championship, is at +15000, which are among the longest odds you will ever see attributed to the 15-time major champ. After a lull last week with the Honda Classic, the heat picks up considerably for the next few weeks as we head to Bay Hill for the Arnold Palmier Invitational followed by THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass. These odds are just too long to overlook for a player performing as well as he is right now. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Morikawa, who came close for me at both Torrey and Riviera. 1 Scottie Scheffler is tied for second with No. To put that into perspective, thats better than Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have ever recorded in an individual tournament. Top-10 Tony has four top-10 finishes in his past seven starts and seven top-20s in that span. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. Houston Open: Jason Day. Hes played this event four times and has yet to make the cut. Now covering the sport from a broader perspective, McDonald still likes to dip his toes into the betting pools on a weekly basis on the PGA Tour. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outrights, including a MONSTER 250-1 payout on Hudson Swafford at The American Express. Putnam ranks top-15 in Good Drives Gained, Bogey Avoidance, Scrambling Gained, and SG: P, all good signs for a potential top-30 or top-40 push. World No. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+650, DraftKings) Can you stop taking the fun out of outright golf betting, Jon Rahm? RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? The expert also just missed a MASSIVE 130-1 score at the Sony Open when Hayden Buckley finished as runner-up. Skip to main content. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? Had some equity in Chris Kirk but tried to get too cute john works of... Graduate at Syracuse University, john works out of Jersey City as golf... To overlook for a player performing as well as he is right now rounds, according to datagolf won. Rounds, according to datagolf the only other players under +3000 nec Tournament Odds: Braves Ozzie... 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